Who stands to win more from a new referendum in 2008?

Its been bothering me since Matsakis opened his mouth. Assume that I am right and the key question posed to the Cypriot people during the campaign becomes the simple one of solution or no solution...who stands to win more? You see the Kass Camp and the Furer obviously feel that they can build a campaign on this... but I am not sure if this is a wise move...What if people really do not want a solution, or to be more precise, they dont want a federal solution. They dont want to be partners with the Turks... what if?

That would mean very simply that the nation deserves the Ethnarch it has.

The Million Dollar Question

Is the Annan Plan a good indicator about the percentage of Greek Cypriots that dont want a solution and prefer the WALL? Or maybe there is more balance in the public opinion, and media intimidation was the reason behind the 76%?

This is the question that the Tass Camp needs to answer to themselves. If the first is the case, then they are up for re-election, and they can go and negotiate the two state solution with the blessing of the racist Cyprus public. In the case of the later.... we going for a solution...and things are going to be very interesting!

And just like that... it begun

Today marks the begininng of the real elections. Today Matsakis said what half the population wants to say and they dont have the guts to say it. That this is all about negotiating with the Turks the regognition of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus in return for a bunch of villages, Famagusta, and border. As mentioned before here... this election is all about the wall. Those who want it and those who don't. Lets see how many each side will get.

Kostakis puts it very nicely here

Second Best Solution

Its August 21st and MEGA TV (under contract to support the church line on the "national" issue) proceeded to re-run Ignatiou's masterpiece , "Cyprus 33 years later". Of course appart from including an absolute nonsense section with Tommie Vou, the greatest journalist of Cyprus proceeded to interview the man himself. In this nice little chat in the back terrace of Strakka, Tassos was asked what he thought was going to be the main issue discussed in these elections. He answered the way Panagopoulos planned. That this election is about evaluating judgment. The ability of the candidates at the time of the Annan Plan to guide the people the right way. And thats how Panagopoulos plans to milk the 76%. Kassoulides becomes a very easy target simply because he pushed people to vote yes, on top of being in the "cursed" team that brought us the Annan Plan. As for Christofias... thats where Panagopoulos will need to get dirty. Early releases of the Pitts, Koulias and Sillouris, seem to have the reverse effect, so plan B will follow. Lillikas will have the chance to "bring Tassos 20% of AKEL". But, beyond wishfull thinking, Tassos and his boys are aware, I am sure, that this election is about the wall and the "tzinoi potzoi emeis poda" concept. The second best solution is already used by Tass followers in private conversations, and will soon make its way on TV. It would be very interesting to see Tassos in a debate with Kassoulides answering about his "second best solution". Will he finally come out of the closet? My feeling is that as the numbers will gradually show that Tass will not make it to the second round (because when the Akel and DISY machines start working the numbers will show just that) the Tass camp will have only two options, give up (impossible) or go for an Annan style campaign. Anyone who wants to bring a solution is a traitor and dangerous, and Tassos is brave enough to sacrifice all and accept a second best solution. This is in fact the core of the 8th July "agreement". Sort out the issues of "kalis geitonias" like electricity, sewage, communications etc and finally evolve into two states. This will offer our politicians more many more years of anti turk rhetoric, and Tassos and his camp the moral high ground to stay in power for a long time. The million dollar question is then, will this route be effective enough to get him through to the second round? I dont know man... maybe the Archbishop will get God to help them on this one. Maybe.

The defining political issue for Proedrikes 2008

Every election has an issue. Somebody wrote a few days ago that these elections will be know as the 76% elections. Like we had the Ghali ideas elections and the S300 elections.

You see things are very simple. Das TassCamp will obviously come out and say, that since the 76% voted no to the A-Plan, and since it was our man who cried on TV asking you to do so, then its is your patriotic duty to keep the struggle on. On the other hand we will have the Kassoulides posse working based on the Kotler marketing book, and addressing issues such housing prices, the economy, new technologies and Europe. The Christofias camp will simply go to the sheep and ask them to go beee. And they will most probably will.

Deep down though we all know what this election is about. I dont include the politicians in the we, cause it is becoming more and more obvious to all of that these people either they do not get it, or they are just so much after power that they dont want to get it.

This election is about those who believe in a solution for the Cyprob, and those who simply believe that there should just be a wall and thats the end of it.

I am not going to go into the analysis of what is the motivation behind these two extremes, as Dr Mikellides does that very well every Sunday.

What i will put forward here is the some questions for thought.

1. When will Das TassCamp finally come out and say it? WE DONT WANT THE DIRTY TURKS. WE CAN NOT RUN THE SHOW IF TURKS ARE IN THE MATH AS WELL. SO NO SOLUTION IS OUR SOLUTION
2. If they don't, which of course they wont as this would be political suicide (you see grecofascists do not make 51% of the electorate, no matter how hard Lazaros tries), when will the Kassoulides camp attack on this point?
You see, the only way Kassoulides can actually win is if he gets the point across that he can get us a solution that will not be huge compromise, and if he doesn't do it it would be too late. Now, the only way to demonstrate this is by uncovering the TassCamp for what it is. Nazi propaganda 101 sais that if you repeat something enough times and for a sufficient period of time, it becomes truth. Politis has been very successful in this respect. It has repeatedly accused the TassCamp of not wanting a solution, and repeatedly teased Christofias to run for president. Through perseverance alone they have pretty much succeeded in both.

It is Kassoulide's turn now. He must go on TV every day for the next 8 months ans simply say "If you vote for me you vote for a solution, if you vote for the nose, it means you dont believe in a solution and want us to stay behind (or in front of ) the wall"

Make the Cypriots come out and take a position on the real issue of the elections. And if they don't want a solution... ce la vie. Maybe its for the better.

With the onset of the new year (2007), arkepsan ta organa. You see, what will happen in 14 months, is that important that some sacrificed the unity of our country just to make sure they keep it on. For most of us... well at least the people I know, it's just another show, an annoying one at times and by the time we get close to the date, bloody annoying and a serious reason to immigrate.

Yet...this election will be like no other. In this election there will be two very distinct points of view. Its the people who believe in reunification and those who want a final partition of our little rock in the sun.

With this in mind, I feel I need to express my point of view, as well as allow others to get their voices out there.

All contributors are welcome.